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    • CommentAuthoringleside
    • CommentTimeMay 1st 2011
     
    There were two articles in the GB Magazine (Vol 18/4 and 19/2) from Jerry Clark about the output from his PV installation in Cornwall. In 2009 we had an installation here in Norfolk. What has surprised me is the difference between the two installations month by month, looking at the percentage of the annual total produced each month. For the months Jan – Dec, Cornwall produced 3, 5, 10, 12, 13, 13, 11, 10, 10, 7, 3, 3% each month, whereas Norfolk has produced 2, 3, 8, 14, 15, 15, 14, 10, 8, 6, 3, 2% each month. Both installations used Fronius inverters – Jerry Clark used Sanyo panels and we used Mitsubishi. What results do other people have?

    Also, we have recently installed a second system, facing SE – the first one faces SW. Allowing for the difference in the number of panels, we are getting 4% more from the SE system than the SW system. So far, that is only over six weeks, but again, does anyone else have any detailed output figures?
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeMay 1st 2011
     
    You can read my stats in guresome detail here by month:

    http://www.earth.org.uk/saving-electricity.html#meter

    and in the linked CSV files by day if you wish.

    Also, look at PVGIS figures by month.

    Note that the due-south-facing panels will have the lowest ratio between summer and winter output.

    Rgds

    Damon
    • CommentAuthoringleside
    • CommentTimeMay 1st 2011
     
    Damon, thanks for that. Your figures (on the same basis as before) are 2, 2, 7, 12, 15, 17, 16, 12, 9, 4, 2, 1%, so not dissimilar to mine. In fact, your ratio of summer:winter is slightly higher, presumably due to your orientation being east and west rather than south east and south west.
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeMay 1st 2011
     
    Yes: south-facing should give ~5:1 as opposed to my ~10:1, but note that last December was an untypically gloomy one here (less than half typical insolation) and also note that I had the last round of PV completed just over a year ago which may distort the figures a bit if you're not careful.

    Rgds

    Damon
    • CommentAuthorCWatters
    • CommentTimeMay 1st 2011
     
    Wouldn't a little dirt make more than 4% difference?
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeMay 1st 2011
     
    Maybe, and my panels are probably especially dirty at the moment as we had only enough rain in the last couple of weeks to wash all the crap out of the air and onto my grid-tied and off-grid panels. I can get at the latter, and washed them down (with rainwater from the waterbutt, since you gibe).

    But I think that over the course of the year we get enough rain and my roof is steep enough slope, that dirt build-up is not a major problem for us.

    And I suggest that the same applies almost anywhere in the UK unless panels are nearly horizontal or there is a major source of grot nearby such as big trees shedding pollen.

    So, yes, go and look at the panels for dust and guano, but also double-check for non-obvious sources of shade in in the later afternoon, eg big trees to the north-west that intercept the sun low on the horizon.

    Also note that inverter (and panel) technology is improving.

    Rgds

    Damon
  1.  
    A system we fitted in start of February has been averaging about 18% above PVGIS , which itself gives an output of approx 10% above SAP2009 the preferred MCS estimation systems.
    I know we've had a great month for weather but it's was also beating PVGIS estimated outputs before April

    I considered it wise to be conservative with estimated outputs
    especially with the doubtful figurers being thrown around in green tech advertising ( Solar thermal , heat pump ,etc)

    Are we doing PV systems a injustice by under estimating the potential return? or do you think it just been a good spring and very location dependent.
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeMay 2nd 2011
     
    If you'd put stuff in in December you'd have been under PVGIS by 50%, then pretty bang on PVGIS numbers in January.

    I think it's safe to take PVGIS or SAP numbers, by the sound of it, as conservative averages, and explain to home-owners that they may well do better if the weather is not weird and if they make sure that a little sensible maintenance is done (periodically checking nothing's broken, no major shade or dirt accumulated).

    In other words, PVGIS/SAP figures are what they should bank on, eg for financing their projects, over the course of a year, but there may well be a small bonus most years!

    Rgds

    Damon
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeMay 2nd 2011
     
    Not actually sure what the OP has in mind here, but there are some tests you can do to see if the output is 'normal'
    Work out the variance and see if it is equal (very data collection method dependant), work out the standard error (will show you how far out your means can be without changing anything significant) and do a 2 tailed t-test (checks if there is significant difference between datasets). If everything is between limits then you either know your set up is good or PVGIS is good, or one or the other is bad, or they are both bad (that bit takes more research).

    As for East facing, there is some research that there is less pollutants in the air in the mornings, so that can account for a bit of greater output (towards East is best for ST, but that is more to do with usage). Geographic location can make a huge difference because of local weather patterns and finally each individual panel has manufacturing tolerances on it so two 'identical' panels, side by side could show a 20% difference, this is usually masked by the control system/s.
    • CommentAuthorGavin_A
    • CommentTimeMay 2nd 2011
     
    there are loads of factors potentially at play here besides the pure peak rating of the system, such as the roof orentation and angle of roof which will dramatically affect the mix between summer and winter production, as will the amount of ventilation behind the panels and how sheltered the location is in terms of wind to cool the panels in summer as well as local differences in summer / winter direct sunlight, air temperature and wind levels.

    Also, as these figures are rounded to whole numbers it's pretty hard to know if the difference actually is as big as stated, as winter production could be 2.4% vs 2.5%.
    • CommentAuthoringleside
    • CommentTimeMay 2nd 2011
     
    What a lot of thoughts! Thanks to everyone. To address some of the points:
    Dirt etc. The SE panels went up in March, so they are clean. The SW ones were snowed on in December, and I cleared the snow using a soft brush on a long handle, so they are clean. Both roofs are at the same angle.
    None of the panels are shaded at all - we're 150 yards or more from any neighbours, and no trees are close enough/large enough to be ever be an issue.
    The map in Green Building Bible Vol 2, p 16 shows that we are in the 9.5-10 solar irradiation band, so we expect to beat the salesman's predictions (based on about 9?) - which we are. My query related to the difference between SE and SW. Obviously, a sunny morning and a cloudy afternoon (or vice versa) will affect the balance, but over six weeks I reckon that will even itself out.
    I do have the percentage figures to one place of decimals, if required, but I reckoned that (a) that wasn't significant and (b) it would be easier to read showing whole numbers.
    Both installations have about the same about of clearance between the panels and the roof.
    I'll keep monitoring, and see what happens over a full year.
    Tony
  2.  
    I believe a SE arrays is better than SW as the panel will be cooler in the morning , giving a slightly better output

    DHD- Yes , that makes sense , thanks , just a good sunny psring then.
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeMay 2nd 2011
     
    Posted By: inglesideObviously, a sunny morning and a cloudy afternoon (or vice versa) will affect the balance, but over six weeks I reckon that will even itself out.


    Not always, depends if you are coastal, urban or rural. Flatlander or Hillfarmer.
    Cloud formation is pretty unpredictable (though you can possible spot the global 5 day pattern). What you will notice is that the variance is smaller in the winter, which can give odd results when comparing monthly to yearly means. Means are not the best gauge really, but hard to use modes as there may not be any. What you have to do is compare it to clear sky data (the theoretical maximum with no cloud) and then model the clouds from your data. Hope you have a powerful PC as your really out the limits of Excel because of the amount of data.
    • CommentAuthoringleside
    • CommentTimeMay 2nd 2011
     
    We are at 52° 43' 10" North, 0° 11' 11" East - definitely Flatlanders being fen country, rural and about 7 miles from the coast. About as far west as you can go and still be in Norfolk, close to the boundaries with Lincolnshire and Cambridgeshire. We've been here 16 years, and I'm sticking by my comment about a 50:50 split - although I don't propose to try to do any statistical work to support it! But the thought is valid in a general sense, even if I don't think it applies here.
    • CommentAuthorjules
    • CommentTimeMay 3rd 2011
     
    I don't think people realise how much sunshine levels can vary from place to place, not only in terms of averages, but also on any particular day. There are all sorts of wrinkles if you are only measuring over a short period. Here in the SE, December was one of the dullest months ever recorded (10 hrs in the whole month at Gatwick), Jan and Feb were pretty grim too, whilst April has broken all records in the other direction.

    Then there are daily variations: in spring you often get E winds which can give cloudy mornings and sunny afternoons, most notably in E half of the country. On the other hand in summer cloud tends to build up during the day, so that mornings can be sunnier than afternoons. Coastal locations are always much sunnier. Moral - your difference from the SW results may be entirely due to the weather, and nothing to do with the equipment.
    • CommentAuthorJeff B
    • CommentTimeMay 4th 2011
     
    We have only had our PV panels for about 1 month so I cannot present much meaningful data as yet. We have 20 x 180 watt panels. The roof faces SSE and the angle is about 40 degrees. The best day we had generated 23 kWh and the worst 2 kWh. What has been surprising to me is the large day-to-day variation. We have had many blue sky days during April and many days which are partly cloudy but apparently (to the eye) not much less bright than the clear days, yet the difference in PV output can be huge - typically 50% less on the slightly cloudier days. Obviously dark clouds with rain yield the worst outputs e.g. the 2 kWh day! The total output for April was almost 400 kWh. Does this sound good?
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeMay 5th 2011
     
    There are a number of things that change the output, the amount of sunlight, the hours of sunlight, the azimuth, height of the sun, humidity, turbidity, air pressure, cloud type and finally the temperature.
    Your 3.6 kWh(p) system has produced around 13 kWh/day
    The chart below shows the full spectrum irradiation for the first week of April down here, Monday and Saturday had the best resource with Thursday and Friday being the lowest. The really odd one is Tuesday, it peaks at 600 W.m^-2 but not for very long.
    13 kWh/day is about half my usage (all electric here) so not that bad at all.
      Week 1 April.jpg
    • CommentAuthorJeff B
    • CommentTimeMay 5th 2011
     
    Steamy Tea - thanks for your response. Interesting graphical data - is that part of your PV installation or have you installed some extra kit to do this?
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeMay 5th 2011
     
    From a weather station, currently working on energy monitoring but it is getting costly, just need some customers really. Odd that people will put up PV but not monitor the house first, but then I am a reductionist.
    If you want to whisper your location I may be able to get some useful data for your region.
    • CommentAuthoringleside
    • CommentTimeMay 5th 2011
     
    Attached is a graph showing our April output - we're in Norfolk, near the borders with Cambridgeshire and Lincolnshire. Our total output was 277 kWh, which is 125/kWp installed.
  3.  
    Posted By: Jeff BWe have only had our PV panels for about 1 month so I cannot present much meaningful data as yet. We have 20 x 180 watt panels. The roof faces SSE and the angle is about 40 degrees. The best day we had generated 23 kWh and the worst 2 kWh. What has been surprising to me is the large day-to-day variation.

    Our WSW facing 40 degree slope 3.9kWp system at 57 degree latitude had a best April day of 25kWh and a worst of 0.4kWh. After you have had the system a while you will likely find that big variations are not uncommon. Back in January the range was 7.2kWh to 0.04kWh.

    The total output for April was almost 400 kWh. Does this sound good?

    You might like to compare it to the estimates produced by plugging your system details into:
    http://re.jrc.ec.europa.eu/pvgis/apps4/pvest.php
    &/or you might like to look on
    http://www.bdpv.fr/index_en.php
    to see if anyone has provided figures for a system anywhere near you for comparison. You might also consider adding your own system to their database.
  4.  
    Posted By: skyewrightAfter you have had the system a while you will likely find that big variations are not uncommon.

    Expanding on that here are some stats based on our generation figures for the first 4 months of this year. In case it's not clear, the columns are "Month", "Daily Mean", "Average Deviation from that Mean" and "Median". The figures are expressed in kWh (per day).

    Month Mean Ave Deviation Median

    Jan 1.79 1.56 0.9
    Feb 3.73 3.13 2.25
    Mar 6.57 4.11 5.6
    Apr 11.53 6.1 11.2
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeMay 5th 2011 edited
     
    .
    • CommentAuthorJeff B
    • CommentTimeMay 5th 2011
     
    Skyewright - thanks for your response. I tried the http://re.jrc.ec.europa.eu/pvgis/apps4/pvest.php link and the data for April was very close to what we actually achieved. The projected output for the year is 3550 kWh which would be great if it were to be achieved!
    • CommentAuthorskyewright
    • CommentTimeMay 8th 2011 edited
     
    Posted By: skyewright
    So, in an ideal world, what data would you like to see, i.e. which values and at what intervals? No promises, but maybe I can provide something better than just the daily summary of PV data?

    Just remembered I prepared a report to produce CSV data for a student who asked on the Navitron Forum for data to help test a model he'd produced as a design project. That report produced CSV with 8 columns giving hourly values for:

    Year
    Month Number
    Day Number
    Hour Number
    PV output in watts
    Average irradiance in W/m2
    Average ambient temp in C
    Average windspeed in m/s

    Sample attached for w/c 2011-02-22 (as a .txt as GBF doesn't see to like .csv). If that is of interest I can readily provide equivalent data for a wider period. If you'd like a different combination, let me know.
    • CommentAuthorjamesingram
    • CommentTimeJul 22nd 2011 edited
     
    Just tohught I'd make people aware of this , if they weren't already

    http://pvoutput.org/about.html

    PVOutput.org is a free service for sharing, comparing and monitoring live solar photovoltaic (PV) and energy consumption data.
    • CommentAuthorskyewright
    • CommentTimeJul 22nd 2011 edited
     
    Posted By: jamesingramJust tohught I'd make people aware of this , if they weren't already

    Similarly:
    http://www.bdpv.fr/index_en.php
    • CommentAuthorSteveZ
    • CommentTimeJun 2nd 2012 edited
     
    Whenever the day is sunny throughout, I have compared the daily output from the two 1kW sets of identical panels on my East and South roofs, and the result is that the East array produces between 93-95% of the South output. Some of the small difference must be because the South array is shaded by the roof late in the day, but I am surprised that they are so close. I seem to remember that due E should produce 85% of the equivalent S


    If anyone is interested in seeing the sort of info given by the 4kWp Solar Edge system reports, I have attached a couple of photographs of the website screens.
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeJun 2nd 2012 edited
     
    My experience of the weather
      Cornwall May 7-14.jpg
      Watt Hour May.jpg
  5.  
    So how many kWh are people harvesting from their PV arrays?
    Is this more or less than expected?
   
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