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    • CommentAuthorjms452
    • CommentTimeApr 19th 2011
     
    Should we care which way this goes?

    Does AV:
    give more power to green views
    or
    create a slow blundering goverment continously changing direction
  1.  
    Well.... how long have you got.
    The reality is that AV wont actually change much - I think all the analyis shows that it will only affect the results by about 10 -15 seats.
    It wont actually give more power to green views as such. For example, Caroline Lucas - the Green MP, won her seat on only just 30% of the vote! Which is astonishing when you think about it. I reckon that under AV, she would not have got a look in.
    However, I am in favour of it because less than 40% of MPs win with >50% of the vote. This is so basically and fundamentally wrong. Almosts all the arguments used by the "No to AV" campaign are wrong/outright lies.
    Complicated - What, ranking your vote "1,2,3" - Hardly
    Expensive - Why?
    Unfair - Like the existing system's really fair isn't it?
    It'll lead to more minority party MP's - So, isn't that what democracy is about? Representing the will of the people
    etc......
    :angry::angry:
  2.  
    Erm
    Folk we here in NI have had PR= proportional representation here for 20 or 30 years.
    Vote 1,2,3,4 etc
    great for straticig voting?, well hardly significent since really only the two main parties attract the majority of the votes.
    Is this similar to the proposed AV system?
    Why has this not got a mention on your side of the sheaugh?
    PS
    We also got "R" plates for newely qualified drivers for 12 months restriced to 45 mph.
    Sometimes I wonder if we exist at all other than in my fevered imagination?
    PPS
    Ulster says
    "Vote early.......vote often".
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeApr 19th 2011
     
    You go to the polls with a choice of, say, three candidates (to keep it easy), Conservative, Labour, LibDem.

    Your preference is for one only, unless you're a particularly broad-minded individual who doesn't really care who gets in so long as the "democratic process" is followed. However, playing the game you then have to overcome all your natural aversion to the other two and place them in order of the lesser of two evils.

    Errr. I don't think so.

    If I want the Tories to win I'll be buggered if I'd even consider giving either of the other two a look in. Likewise, whether a Labour or LibDem supporter.

    You're not voting just to fill the required number of parliamentary seats, you're voting to get in the party who best represents your own views.

    It's why most of the Conservative Party and most of the Liberal Democrat Party are deeply unhappy to the point of barely being able to suppress their anger at what's happened since the coalition was formed.
  3.  
    Yes, but unfortunately, its called democracy. No single party got >40% of the vote. No party had a mandate. So we now have a coalition which in principle represents about 60% of the electorate. Whats not to like?
    Obviously, not every policy of the 2 parties can be put into practice, but isn't this what grown ups are supposed to do - agree, discuss, compromise?
    Or are people just being hypocritical when they say they want politicians to act like grown ups? :angry:

    Tim
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeApr 19th 2011
     
    Tim, just saying it how it is. We're used to accepting the inevitable outcome of the present system, there's a certain finality to it. Whereas compromise, as stated elsewhere, just seems like a cobble-up.:confused:
  4.  
    Posted By: dimengineerhave a coalition which in principle represents about 60% of the electorate.


    ...err not quite...

    J
  5.  
    Oh all right.... About 60% of those who voted.....
    • CommentAuthorjms452
    • CommentTimeApr 19th 2011
     
    and how about the fairly high percentage who would vote green but actually tend vote for the for the greenest party they think might win instead?

    For these people (many of us?) their normal vote would actually be no 2 under AV potentially giving a the greens a step increase in vote %age and possibly a real momentum under AV (i.e. not many people vote green 'tactically' and AV removes the need for tactical voting)?
    • CommentAuthorCWatters
    • CommentTimeApr 19th 2011
     
    No government can do anything significant unless the economy does well. For that you need strong government as markets hate uncertainty. Which method of voting delivers strong stable government?
    • CommentAuthorjms452
    • CommentTimeApr 19th 2011
     
    Either FPP or AV would give a identical/similar goverment to the one we have now (see dimengineer above)- people argue that full PR doesn't but the Germany seems to do well on it.

    And what good does a strong economy from a green perspective if all that happens is green lip service. We've all lived through the last ten years of boom (well ignore the last three) and the green achievements I'm aware of haven't been that great (in fact the recent drop in emmisions from the recession were probably greater!)
  6.  
    still "err no" I'm afraid... but not really the right forum.
    • CommentAuthorqeipl
    • CommentTimeApr 20th 2011 edited
     
    Posted By: CWattersNo government can do anything significant unless the economy does well. For that you need strong government as markets hate uncertainty. Which method of voting delivers strong stable government?


    Currently, Germany has the strongest economy in the western world and has a coalition government elected by a proportional system.

    In the UK Labour won a landslide in 1997, elected by first-past-the-post, and over the next 13 years allowed the economy to degenerate into a morass of stupidity and lies. The Conservatives did nothing to stop them and appear to have little idea how to get us out of the glaur.

    Stockmarkets do not create a economy, they feed off it, and will gorge at any opportunity whether or not it's good for the rest of us. That's what happened with the borrowing/lending frenzy which culminated in the big bust of 2008.

    The strength of an economy lies in the activities of individual entrepreneurs and employees who enjoy getting useful things done in an efficient and effective manner. Politicians and markets merely run along on their coat tails, often hindering, sometimes helping their progress.

    FPTP concentrates executive power in the hands of a few self-selecting individuals.
    The smaller the executive gang the harder it is for the people who drive an economy to make their voices heard, so the government is more likely to do what's right for the few who have their ear and get it wrong for the many who do not, and the health of the economy suffers.

    AV is a long way from where we need to be in terms of political culture in this country but it is a small step in the right direction. It increases the chances of coalition government, which diffuses the power a bit and demands more debate and consensus in place of command and control. There is more chance of a wider range of views and requirements being heard and absorbed into economic policy, which will make it easier for motivated entrepreneurs and employees to get useful things done.

    Thank you all for making me think about this and write it down. I now know which way to vote.

    Malcolm
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeApr 20th 2011 edited
     
    You will notice that I've said nothing here that, in any way, indicates that we live in a democracy.

    We have the ILLUSION of democracy in the form of a parliamentary system.

    We have a largely apathetic electorate because it has recognised that it is powerless. It isn't lack of intelligence that makes people behave that way, it's the supreme intelligence implict in the refusal to take part in a process that assumes they're all bloody idiots for believing it makes a difference.

    Cwatters' point about strong governments is the reason the Germans have the system they do. They have better memories than us, but it doesn't give them a better democratic system, just one that avoids the mistakes of the past.

    Our system of "strong government" works because there is a supreme authority over it, one that nominally represents us all and to which the real power in the land (the people with the guns) owes its allegiance - the Crown. Titular it may be; symbolic and outdated it most certainly is, but it works and has seen us stable for centuries. And that's a closet Rebublican talking!

    I've taken the following from the Australian government site, it explains their system pretty thoroughly and fairly. I've yet to see the proposals for AV expressed as openly, without the spin from either side. I also suspect that some people have yet to understand that AV is not PR, in which case they really need to take note of the last two points below...



    Advantages of the Preferential System

    * It ensures that only a candidate with the support of an absolute majority of the electorate can win, eliminating the possibility of minority winners. Put another way, the winning candidate is the "most preferred" or "least disliked" candidate.

    * It ensures that voters can support minor parties and independent candidates, knowing that their preferences may be used to decide the winner. Thus, votes for minor parties and independents are not wasted.

    * It allows parties of like-minded philosophies or policies to "exchange preferences" in order to assist each other to win.

    * It promotes a strong two-party system, ensuring stability in the parliamentary process.

    Disadvantages of the Preferential System

    * It is more complicated to administer and count.

    * It can produce a higher level of informal voting.

    * It promotes a two-party system to the detriment of minor parties and independents.

    * Voters are forced to express a preference for candidates they may not wish to support in any way. (The use of optional preferential voting, as used in New South Wales State elections, is a solution to this problem.)


    (And I know this describes the Preferential Voting system, but it's what you'll end up with if AV goes through because a rose by any other name has the same number of thorns. And can you see daylight between AV and PV?)
  7.  
    Do you have to rank all the candidates?
    i.e. if you only wanted to vote for 'candidate A' could you just put your 1 there and leave the rest, or would that be a spoiled vote?
    That way you could have a sort of combined system, where staunchly first-past-the-posters didn't want to vote for any one else (i.e. Tory voters) could do that, while others could rank the candidates in order of preference?
    • CommentAuthorowlman
    • CommentTimeApr 20th 2011
     
    Nice idea Dominic but whatever system, I think it will only work if all are singing from the same sheet. Otherwise we'll end up with lots of post election wrangling about how the party who's supporters did the one vote bit, but yet still benefitted from the proportional bit of the others.
  8.  
    As I understand the proposal is that you can rank as many or as few candidates as you like.

    I have often thought that it would be interesting to make voting compulsory but include the option for a 'none of the above' (a la Brewster's Millions!) and /or abstention.

    For my part I am somewhat torn. I think some improvement is possible and desirable but am not sure that AV is the answer. Doesn't seem to be really supported by anyone apart from Mr Ed' who I have a sneaky suspicion feels he ahas to support AV as that's how he became leader and also to fulfil his roll as Dave's opposite number. There are also tactics about wider issues that sway me (see the links below, always right to state your bias in these matters I think).

    J


    http://www.organizedrage.com/2011/03/far-from-yes-for-av-vote-shortening.html
    http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/apr/19/av-clegg-forgiving-lib-dems
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeApr 20th 2011 edited
     
    How does AV cope with low turnout. If the percentage of don't shows is larger than the the first places percentage then government should be abolished which is clearly nonsense.
    I think that the real problem is that we are not comparing like for like. We vote in out local politico, of what ever flavour, and then add up all the elected politicians votes and then see who has either a clear majority or can form a workable majority (what we have today and I use the term workable lightly).
    Thing is that we cannot vote of parties or people that do not stand, so say I wish to vote for Mebyon Kernow as I believe they will do the most for my country but I live in Buckinghamshire, where they are not standing, how does AV deal with this (how does FPTP deal with it as well.
    Hardly representative if only 3 or 4 major parties stand in every constituency.
    Just out of interest what do the 107 new 'lords' do for our representation?

    AV seems to me to smack of bad losers and everyone gets a prize.
    • CommentAuthorowlman
    • CommentTimeApr 20th 2011
     
    A pity you can't have two votes. One for the party whose policies you most broadly support, and another for the person you feel is your best local representative.
    •  
      CommentAuthorfostertom
    • CommentTimeApr 20th 2011
     
    A +1 vote for the one you want, a -1 for the one you definitely don't. Tot up the +s and -s and you might end up with all candidates netting zero or near enough
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeApr 20th 2011
     
    We should never have cut his head off. Wouldn't be having all this bother now.:tooth:
    • CommentAuthorwookey
    • CommentTimeApr 20th 2011
     
    Dominic, no you don't have to rank more than one candidate.

    All elections should indeed have a 'NOTA' option too (Debian does, for example - we also use condorcet voting with modified schwarz dropping which has the twin properties of being very fair, and very inpenetrable).

    I'm voting for AV because it really annoys me that I've had to be either a tactical or an irrelevant voter for much of my life. The (mostly) removal of tactical voting is more than enough to sell it to me as an improvement over FPTP.

    I actually can't quite understand why anyone who's actually understood how it works would still prefer FPTP. I can see that a lot of people who haven't worked out exactly what the deal is would be inclined to stick with 'what I am familiar with'.
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeApr 20th 2011
     
    :confused::bigsmile:
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeApr 20th 2011
     
    Oh, and looks as if we'll all have to democratically agree to disagree.:grouphug:
  9.  
    Yeh, 'fraid I understand and still am less than enthusiastic... :wink:

    J
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeApr 20th 2011
     
    I've only a handful of times since I got the vote been able to vote directly for the candidate that I want; all the rest of my votes have had to be tactical, eg of the form "keep candidate X" out.

    I will be glad of the opportunity to more closely reflect on the paper what I actually want to happen.

    I always vote when I have the opportunity in local/national elections, even if in some cases it has to be for the 'least bad' option: I think it's a small duty in return for the opportunity to try to change the politicians regularly (like babies' nappies and for similar reasons).

    Rgds

    Damon
    •  
      CommentAuthorfostertom
    • CommentTimeApr 20th 2011
     
    Posted By: fostertomA +1 vote for the one you want, a -1 for the one you definitely don't. Tot up the +s and -s and you might end up with all candidates netting zero or near enough
    Ask again - why shouldn't we be able to cast a negative vote for the candidate that we most abhor?
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeApr 20th 2011
     
    You'd upset them. :cry:
  10.  
    I would be happy to see a legal requirement to vote combined with a 'box number the last' on the ballot form which signified none of the above are worthy of the job.

    I agree with DamonHD above and whilst I have left the UK and I can only vote in local and EU elections here I always vote because apart from the reasons given by Damon I believe if you don't vote you have no right to complain about the ensuing outcome and events.

    Peter
    • CommentAuthorFlubba
    • CommentTimeApr 20th 2011
     
    Thought I would chip in my thoughts to this discussion.

    I am with those that would like to see a legal obligation to vote or at least register as abstaining or none of the above it should allow a much clearer picture of those who simply don’t care or those who feel they are not being represented. I’m also for a fully proportional representation electoral system even although I do have concerns about how much of a mess it will cause and the damage it could do because of uncertainty. However as Joiner pointed out one of the things that has delivered stable democracy is in an odd way the Monarchy because It still retains (I think) the power to step in prevent a power vacuum. The Monarchy in this country still seems to act as a beacon of light in the stormy muddy waters of politics and something to rally around in times of crisis they are very much still part of the national identity for some.

    Ideally I would like to see a federation of England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland with most of the responsibilities residing within those nations but with a strong central federal government.
   
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