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Green Building Bible, Fourth Edition
Green Building Bible, fourth edition (both books)
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    • CommentAuthortony
    • CommentTimeApr 14th 2012
     
    There is a proposal to link us up to Iceland via a high voltage DC cable

    I like it, we would then have access to cheap green volcanic electricity.
    • CommentAuthorSeret
    • CommentTimeApr 14th 2012 edited
     
    The greenness of geothermal power is pretty variable. It's low carbon, but if it's extracted at a rate higher than the rocks' recharge rate (as is often the case) it's far from sustainable. I don't know what rate the Icelanders are extracting heat at currently, but I'm concerned that coupling them to a much larger market such as the UK (and therefore the rest of Europe) would put a lot of economic pressure on them to up it substantially.

    The losses on a 1500km undersea cable would be pretty gnarly too.

    Having said that, I think on the whole it's a good idea, if it can be done economically. More interconnectors are a good thing in general IMO.
    • CommentAuthorEd Davies
    • CommentTimeApr 14th 2012
     
    Posted By: Seret: “The losses on a 1500km undersea cable would be pretty gnarly too.”

    Not necessarily. Previously I think I found a reference which said 10%/1000 km for HVDC. Looking again I can't find that but this:

    http://www.transmissiondevelopers.com/page.asp?id=6&name=AboutHVdc

    says 3%/1000 km. Maybe the 10% includes conversion losses at each end - somewhere else I read 1.6% for conversion losses. Whatever, the losses aren't that great.
  1.  
    HVDC is used in Quebec where some of the connections are over 1500km long. End-to-end losses (including conversion) are less than 6%. Conversion losses are pretty low. The advantage of using DC is that it protects you against grid disconnects if your frequency goes out of whack (this is part of the reason HydroQuebec had to put in HVDC for the interconnections to the US grid - their frequency regulation for AC wasn't good enough apparently).

    See http://www.abb.ca/industries/ap/db0003db004333/87f88a41a0be97afc125774b003e6109.aspx for a 1500km link from Radisson in the north of Quebec to Boston

    Paul in Montreal.
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeApr 14th 2012
     
    Google

    IET China HVDC losses

    Has a bit about it, may show losses.
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeApr 14th 2012 edited
     
    It's all intended to be part of the pan-European super-grid that will also link in North Africa and the serried banks of pv as per...

    Ref pps 178/179 of 'Sustainable Energy — without the hot air'.

    See... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TqJPreSAFOM
    • CommentAuthorSeret
    • CommentTimeApr 14th 2012
     
    Posted By: Paul in MontrealHVDC is used in Quebec where some of the connections are over 1500km long. End-to-end losses (including conversion) are less than 6%


    That's damn good. You'll get more than that in the UK grid itself. With those sort of numbers you could be looking at somewhere well under 20% to go all the way from Iceland to a wall socket in Britain.
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeApr 14th 2012
     
    Not much more than that in the GB grid overall, and the bulk is in distribution. Transmission losses average at ~2%.

    And even if we did 'waste' 20% of the energy in transit, given the lack of fuel that went in, and compared to losses in heat engines such as conventional thermal generators, would that be so bad?

    Rgds

    Damon
    • CommentAuthorSeret
    • CommentTimeApr 14th 2012
     
    Posted By: DamonHD
    And even if we did 'waste' 20% of the energy in transit, given the lack of fuel that went in, and compared to losses in heat engines such as conventional thermal generators, would that be so bad?


    Not at all. I mentioned it because I thought it was quite good.

    Despite all the talk about geothermal it looks like most of the power they'd be selling to us would in fact be hydro, and they've apparently got the potential to build a lot more of that. If this cable goes in it might make it worth their while to build a lot more hydro (including pumped storage) and sell it to Europe.
    • CommentAuthorGavin_A
    • CommentTimeApr 14th 2012
     
    UK politicians are soooo stupid for not making a deal with iceland for access to their geothermal and hydro resources in exchange for the icelandic bank 'debt' to the UK.


    This link is IMO absolutely vital if the UK (and Scotland in particular) is to have anything like the levels of onshore and offshore wind that's planned, as it will enable us to use Iceland as part of a buffer system to take excess wind generation and supply back up to that wind in lull periods.

    This should actually work very well for Iceland as well, as it means their geothermal and hydro should have better chances to recharge during the periods when UK wind is supplying Iceland. It also boost the resilience of Iceland's power grid, which is vital to the Icelandic economy as they're now hosting several server farms, and in the running for more I believe.
    • CommentAuthortony
    • CommentTimeApr 14th 2012
     
    Iceland dont need us for energy! They are more than self sufficient have access to virtually unlimited heat and plentiful sources of electricity.
    • CommentAuthorGavin_A
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012
     
    Posted By: tonyIceland dont need us for energy! They are more than self sufficient have access to virtually unlimited heat and plentiful sources of electricity.

    they don't need us in the same way that we need them, but data centres that need 100% guaranteed reliability will view this favorably.
    • CommentAuthorSeret
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012
     
    Posted By: tonyIceland dont need us for energy! They are more than self sufficient have access to virtually unlimited heat and plentiful sources of electricity.


    Resources is one thing, money is another. Depending on how expensive their locally produced power is it may be cheaper at times for them to import cheap base load from the UK. Having access to us also gives them more backup to deal with faults and maintenance, and may mean they need to have less reserve spun up themselves. So it may not just be one-way traffic, although I'm sure they'll be quite happy to sell us their nice fast-responding hydro at peak prices, if the control system through the cable can react that quickly.
  2.  
    Has anyone considered the heating impact of cables on seabed plus the of rapid increase in coastal based biomass powerplants dumping two thirds of the energy into the sea? We are told rising sea temperature is the main climate change concern, just a thought!
    • CommentAuthortony
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012
     
    Iceland already heats the sea around itself and the increase due to this cable will only be one million billionth of that.
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012 edited
     
    Posted By: tonyone million billionth

    Is that a definitive number :wink:

    Easy enough to work out, so simple in fact that I am not going to bother

    Energy loss in cable* SHC of cable *Mass of cable*(Temperature of cable-Temperature of sea)

    Stick on the upper and lower bounds of the energy losses, impurities of the cable, the mass of the cable, the sea temperature and I would start to think that 1 part in a 1000 trillion is a gross estimate :bigsmile:

    I like these big engineering projects, let's just do it, we only need to import about 20% of our current energy usage at the moment, so if it all goes horribly wrong and the cod start spawning too early or too late, we can turn it off and pop in some more insulation.
    • CommentAuthorEd Davies
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012
     
    Posted By: SteamyTea: “Energy loss in cable* SHC of cable *Mass of cable*(Temperature of cable-Temperature of sea)”

    How about: Energy loss of cable / Heat capacity of North Atlantic

    Ignore the rest of the gubbins here: there will be a more-or-less fixed resistive heat loss in the cable. Apart from a tiny heat flow up the copper at the ends all that power will get into the water.

    Net result will be approximately zero and a lot less than the heating effect of waste heat from a thermal (coal, gas, nuclear) power station producing the same electrical input to the British grid. Also, as Tony says the heat would have dissipated through the ground in Iceland anyway, eventually - geothermal production gets it out a bit quicker but hydro slows it down.

    That's not to say that anthropogenic heat production could never be a problem. If we carry on with growth at our current rate we boil the planet in 400 years. That's not our most urgent concern, though.

    http://physics.ucsd.edu/do-the-math/2012/04/economist-meets-physicist/
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012
     
    Tony? :wink:
    • CommentAuthorEd Davies
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012 edited
     
    Posted By: JoinerTony?
    Are you cuing Tony to counter that 400 years' time boiling comment with some assertion about greenhouse gases? If so you miss the point; that boiling would be a simple result of human energy production and is quite independent of any greenhouse effect.
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012 edited
     
    Ed...

    Tony -
    Account Created: Jan 30th 2007
    Last Active: 3 hours ago
    Visit Count: 18071
    Discussions Started: 414
    Comments Added: 7784
    Qualifications: BSc chemistry with physics
    Qualifications: PhD organic chemistry
    Career: Builder for 28 yrs now a sustainability consultant

    Global warming: Unconvinced and waiting to see some scientific proof

    Global warming: no proof that this is caused by human activity

    :neutral:
    • CommentAuthortony
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012
     
    "That's not to say that anthropogenic heat production could never be a problem. If we carry on with growth at our current rate we boil the planet in 400 years.!"

    No, we are a ball orbiting in space which is very cold, the sun keeps us warm, even if we tried we could not generate sufficient energy to boil ourselves as as or temperature increases so do our heat losses, this is a fourth power relationship as discovered by Stefan http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stefan%E2%80%93Boltzmann_law

    Something wrong with the basic physics, even an exponential increase in global temperatures is completely impossible, boiling ourselves is something out of cloud cuckoo land
    • CommentAuthorGavin_A
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012
     
    Posted By: BrianwilsonHas anyone considered the heating impact of cables on seabed plus the of rapid increase in coastal based biomass powerplants dumping two thirds of the energy into the sea? We are told rising sea temperature is the main climate change concern, just a thought!

    somewhere between miniscule and negligible.
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012
     
    Wel the blast furnace at Redcar is about to be relit, will that boil a cuppa in an hour or so?::updown: (nearest I could get to lapping up some tea)
    • CommentAuthorEd Davies
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012 edited
     
    Actually, this is a more detailed reference on what I'm saying.

    http://physics.ucsd.edu/do-the-math/2011/07/galactic-scale-energy/

    Posted By: tonyNo, we are a ball orbiting in space which is very cold, the sun keeps us warm, even if we tried we could not generate sufficient energy to boil ourselves as as or temperature increases so do our heat losses, this is a fourth power relationship as discovered by Stefan...

    Exactly.

    Current human energy use is about 2000 W / person with 7 billion people so 14 TW. If that grows at 2.3%/year for 450 years (sorry, misremembered the exact number of years) we'd be using 14 * 1.023⁴⁵⁰ = 389191 TW.

    Current solar input is about 1000 W/m² * pi * R² (radius of the Earth, roughly 6371000 m) = 127516 TW.

    So if we used all the solar energy available then got the rest from fusion or something then we'd be roughly tripling the heat the planet has got to radiate.

    The current average temperature is around 15°C. The new temperature would be:

    Math.pow(Math.pow(15 + 273, 4) * 3, 0.25) - 273

    (I.e., current absolute temperature to the fourth power, multiply by three, take the fourth root and convert back to Celsius.)

    which comes to 106°C.

    Of course in reality we wouldn't get to that point. My minor near-parenthetical point was that, though the heating effect of the losses from a cable of this sort would be negligible, in the much longer run such heating would ultimately become a concern even if nothing else bit us first.
    • CommentAuthorEd Davies
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012
     
    Posted By: JoinerEd...

    Tony -
    ...
    Global warming: Unconvinced and waiting to see some scientific proof

    Global warming: no proof that this is caused by human activity


    Indeed, I'm well aware of (and rather baffled by) Tony's views. However, the warming I mentioned here has little to do with “global warming” as it's currently considered - the effect of increasing greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. It would apply even if the energy came from, say, fusion which didn't involve any change to the atmosphere's composition.
    • CommentAuthorSeret
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012
     
    Posted By: Ed DaviesIf that grows at 2.3%/year for 450 years



    Of course in reality we wouldn't get to that point.


    Indeed we wouldn't. When considering resources and growth, it's a mistake to think you can model it simply as continual geometric or exponential growth. That was were Malthus went wrong. Things like the logistical model have turned out to be more accurate, where even if the growth looks exponential in the early stages, there may be influences that are too small to notice which significantly restrict growth later on. In short: s-shaped growth.

    I suspect energy use, like population growth (and largely linked to it) will plateau at some point.
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012
     
    Around peak oil perhaps? :wink:
    • CommentAuthorSeret
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012
     
    Peak oil, shmeak oil. Demand will keep growing, when oil gets too expensive it'll just push us towards other energy sources. I have zero faith in humanity's ability to keep demand under control over the next hundred years. There's just too much growth coming from the developing world.

    Energy use will be largely determined by population and economic growth. It'll only stop growing when the population stabilises and the majority of the world's economies have reached the point where economic growth decouples from energy use.
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012 edited
     
    Population *is* within about 30% of predicted maximum and is going to take ~40 years to get there, so we are pretty 'stable' now. Far more serious is profligate energy waste per capital in Western societies (esp the USA). We'd cook if everyone in the world achieved that level of consumption.

    Rgds

    Damon
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeApr 15th 2012
     
    Ah well, I'll only be seeing temperatures like that when the conveyor takes me into the crem's furnace. And no, ST, I don't believe in the other place either, so don't go wishing me there.:wink:
   
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